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Trying to Make Apple Juice From Oranges: The Problem With Comparing Market Pricing and Fed Projections

Trying to Make Apple Juice From Oranges: The Problem With Comparing Market Pricing and Fed Projections

Trying to Make Apple Juice From Oranges: The Problem With Comparing Market Pricing and Fed Projections

As investors seek to pinpoint market expectations for Federal Reserve policy, it’s critical to consider not just rate projections and derivatives pricing, but the degree of uncertainty and distribution of outcomes.

Dollar Strength: Sum of All Fears
European Outlook: Less Downside Now, But Caution Still Warranted
Cyclical Outlook Key Takeaways: Strained Markets, Strong Bonds
ECB Hikes, and Indicates Higher Rates Coming
U.S. Inflation Eased More Than Expected in November as Fed Eyes Pause in Rate Hike Cycle Next Year

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